For a lot of reasons, we can only do that for a little bit into the future, kind of like in weather forecasting, where you can have a decent 10-day or maybe 14-day forecast, but you really can’t go much further than that. In forecasting, we’re really trying to say what will happen. What is the difference between scenario modeling and forecasting, and how that is applicable to this model that you build for the future? This is how we do weather forecasting, and we think it’s the right way to do infectious diseases as well. We wanted to bring in teams with different perspectives and different assumptions to try to get the best sense across the scientific community of how things might proceed in different conditions. This is a multi-modeling effort we call the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub. You’ve spent a lot of your time in the last year working on models to understand the spread of the virus, and you have recently worked with a group of modelers to look to the future from where we are today. In this Q&A, adapted from the June 4 episode of Public Health On Call, Lessler discusses several different scenarios-and the troubling element that the models didn’t consider. Justin Lessler, an infectious disease epidemiologist at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, worked with several teams of modelers to explore possibilities based on different vaccination rates and levels of other controls, such as mask wearing and distancing. © 2020 Author Becky Dvorak–Healing and Miracles International, All rights reserved.Last fall and winter saw a surge in COVID-19 cases in the U.S. So are you willing to do whatever it takes to bring down the fire and the glory of God upon us, and cause the Lost to desire this great Redemption? I pray so.Ĭlick here to order a copy of Becky’s latest book, “Conquering the Spirit of Death”.Ĭlick here to visit Becky’s ministry itinerary. There isn’t anything more appealing to the spiritual appetite of the Lost than a Christian who truly walks with God, and lives according to His ways. (See Matthew 5:13.) Just like salt enhances the flavor of food, so too are we to enhance the flavor of God’s goodness and mercy upon this earth. But if we, God’s people refuse to live according to God’s ways, how can they? According to the Word of God, we are the salt of the earth. There is only one way to Salvation–through the redemptive blood of Jesus Christ. As God’s people are we willing to meet His conditions to humble ourselves, and pray and seek His face, and turn from our wicked ways? The responsibility lies within us, but so too is the answer. This leads me to two important questions. What fuels this fire and glory? God’s goodness and His mercy towards His people. And how do we access His goodness and mercy over our nation? First Chronicles 7:14 tells us how, “If My people who are called by My name will humble themselves, and pray and seek My face, and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and will forgive their sin and heal their land.Īs we can see this promise to forgive our sin and heal our land is conditional. And I pray, just as it was in the days of King Solomon, “When all the children of Israel saw how the fire came down, and the glory of the Lord on the temple, they bowed their faces to the ground on the pavement, and worshiped and praised the Lord, saying ‘For He is good, For His mercy endures forever.'” I pray this over our nation, that as the Church repents, the Lost will see the fire of God fall down upon us, and His glory surround us, and they too will fall to their knees with their faces to the ground and humbly surrender themselves to our Lord and King–Jesus Christ.
While spending quiet time in the presence of the Lord, I heard the rustle of the onion paper in my Bible flip a page, so I looked over to it and read Second Chronicles 7:3.
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